SPEAKING OF SPORTS: From high school star to ???

 

The NFL Draft can make or break the dreams of college kids who have been working for years in hopes of playing professional football. Given his high expectations 4 years ago, I doubt few people were more disappointed at this year’s draft than former Folsom High phenom Jake Browning.

Browning is certainly a familiar name to fans of the Nevada Union Miners, but not in a good way. Browning terrorized the Miners the four times he played them from 2011-14, turning every game into a rout.

But the Miners weren’t alone. Browning set new state records for completed passes, passing yards, and touchdowns during his time at Folsom. He was considered a 4-star recruit out of high school and the third-best pro style quarterback in the class of ’15.

Browning landed at the University of Washington, where he was the school’s first freshman starter at QB since 1997 and was the Pac-12 offensive player of the year in 2016. Then his career flat lined.

While the Huskies were successful in ’17 and ’18, Browning became more of a game manager and less of an offensive force, putting up respectable numbers while relying on the skills of his receivers to make the big pass plays. Browning had shoulder surgery after his sophomore season and was considered a weak-armed thrower by the time he finished his career in the Rose Bowl in January.

Browning went undrafted and subsequently signed a free agent deal with the Minnesota Vikings, a team that is committed to Kirk Cousins and his $84 million (guaranteed) deal. The Vikings signed free agent Sean Mannon as Cousins’ backup and have another young prospect in Kyle Sloter.

If the Vikings decide to carry three QBs on their roster (unlikely), Browning’s best shot will be the taxi squad. He was an “A” student in high school and studied business at Washington. I hope he got his degree because it looks like he’ll need it.

***

Kevin Durant is the most dominant offensive player in the NBA today, capable of taking over a game and ruining the day for the opposition. But the Golden State Warriors shouldn’t break up their team to resign him when he becomes a free agent in July.

Durant is an iso player on a team that emphasizes movement and passing by players who are willing to do what’s best for the team. While Durant has been a good teammate during his time in Oakland, he really doesn’t fit into the Warriors’ style of play.

Golden State’s core players–Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green–are still relatively young and masters of coach Steve Kerr’s style of play. Given the team’s salary cap constraints, Green, Thompson or both would have to be jettisoned to resign Durant. He’s not worth it.

***

Clemson football coach Dabo Swinney was rewarded recently for winning two of the last three national championships with a 10-year contract extension that will pay him a minimum of $92 million.

That makes Swinney the highest paid college coach (and maybe the highest paid coach, period) in the nation, ahead of Alabama’s Nick Saban (8 years, $74 million) and Texas A&M coach Jimbo Fisher (10 years, $75 million).

Keep those numbers in mind the next time the NCAA and its member schools explain why paying players is a bad thing.

***

Long-time football coach Dick Tomey died recently at the age of 80 from cancer. While he was a head coach at Hawaii, Arizona and San Jose State, Tomey was best know for running his “Desert Swarm” defense for 14 years at Arizona.

Tomey was one of those coaches who didn’t feel comfortable running an offense; he would much rather play defense all the time and take his chances. As a result, Tomey’s Arizona teams were known for playing tough defense but not scoring much, which presented opportunities for people who bet on college football games.

Specifically, it became a winning bet to take Tomey’s team when it was an double-digit underdog and bet against them when they were double-digit favorites. A lot of bettors were sad when Tomey got fired.

***

Lamar Odom, a former Kardashian spouse whose NBA career was ruined when he became addicted to cocaine, is out with a book claiming he’s bedded 2,000 women in his life.

The book is probably Odom’s last shot at making some decent money, so you should probably make allowances for exaggeration. And he admits he paid at least some of them for their services–should they be deducted from the total?

In any event, Odom’s an amateur compared to NBA great Wilt Chamberlain, who claimed he bedded 20,000 women–not 2,000. Since Chamberlain was never sued for paternity, he was either very lucky, infertile, or lying. Wilt’s dead so we’ll never know the truth.

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Posted in College athletics, Golden State Warriors, NCAA, Sports, Sports betting, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Small towns are a hoot, as Podunk Pelline keeps reminding us

Jeff “Podunk” Pelline is all aflutter that his magazine was called “classy” in, of all places, The Union.

The word was used by Lorraine Jewett in her column, “Lorraine’s Lowdown,” where never is found a discouraging word. Lorraine speaks for herself, not The Union. As the paper continually reminds readers, opinions expressed by columnists are their own and don’t necessarily reflect the viewpoint of management.

But what’s really interesting is that Jewett made the comment in the context of reporting Jeffy’s membership in the Grass Valley Chamber of Commerce, an institution he has regularly trashed on his blog.

Jeffy had it in for Keith Davies when he ran the chamber with his wife, Robin Galvan-Davies. In Pelline’s accounting, Davies was just a front man for the good old boys who run the town and retard progress. Here’s just one example of Podunk’s bile; there are plenty more if you’re interested: https://sierrafoothillsreport.com/2014/06/09/incoming-district-3-supervisor-miller-jumps-in-the-pool-on-election-night-its-a-small-world-after-all/

Davies has since moved onto other ventures, but his wife is still running the chamber. You have to wonder what she thought when Jeffy’s membership application showed up in the mail, and you have to wonder what he thinks he can gain after trashing the outfit all these years.

But business is business, and this is a small town. What a hoot!

Posted in Grass Valley Chamber of Commerce, Jeff Pelline, Uncategorized | 5 Comments

QUICK HITS: Who don’t you ask the GOP’s leader in California?

–Conservative blogger George Rebane finds merit it the Reconquista theory, the idea that Mexico will reclaim land lost to the U.S. in 1848 “bloodlessly by immigration and out-breeding our European descended whites.” He may want to raise that issue when Jessica Patterson, currently chair of the state Republican Party and a Latina, addresses local Republicans in Auburn next month.

–If the regular commentators at Rebane’s Ruminations put their heads together, they’d have an impressive rock garden.

–Is Donald Trump telling the truth when he says he “loves” Wikileaks or when he says he knows nothing about the outfit? That’s a trick question because Trump never tells the truth.

–Trump keeps insisting his father was born in a “beautiful” part of Germany while all of the evidence suggests he was born in the U.S. I think it’s time for Trump to produce a birth certificate. If it was good enough for Obama, it’s good enough for dear old dad.

–Speaking of Trump’s lying, nobody laid it out better than Robert Mueller.

–Podunk Pelline, the Miss Grundy of local grammarians, is quick to jump on anybody who does something as innocuous as leaving the apostrophe out of “it’s.” Meanwhile, Pelline regular Chip Wilder wrote on Jeffie’s blog April 19 at 6:06 a.m. that Trump is a “cereal liar.” Chipper could give Walt Branson and Todd Juvinall a run for their money when it comes to creative use of the English language in the local blogosphere.

Posted in Donald Trump, George Rebane, Jeff Pelline, Politics, Uncategorized | 6 Comments

SPEAKING OF SPORTS: New Giants golden boy?

Larry Baer, president and CEO of the San Francisco Giants, will have diminished power when he returns to the team from a suspension for getting in a well documented public scuffle with his wife.

The day Major League Baseball announced Baer’s suspension without pay until July 1, the team said a member of the investor group, Rob Dean, will become acting CEO and the team’s control person when it comes to dealing with MLB.

(When no investor owns more than 50 percent of a team, the team is required to designate a control person who can speak for the owners in league deliberations.)

Dean is married to one of the daughters of the late Harmon Burns, who was the biggest investor when the current group of owners purchased the team from Bob Lurie and saved the Giants from being moved to Florida.

Burns made his fortune at Franklin Resources, which owns Franklin Templeton mutual funds. Charles Johnson, a son of Franklin’s founder, is currently the biggest investor in the Giants with a reported share of 25 percent.

Johnson got in hot water a couple of years ago when it was revealed he contributed money to a PAC that ran a racist political ad campaign in Arkansas, and helped fund the campaign of Mississippi Senate candidate Cindy Hyde-Smith, who among others things said she would enjoy a “front row seat” at a public hanging.

That created a political fire storm in ultra liberal San Francisco, requiring Baer to publicly repudiate Johnson’s actions and reaffirm the team’s commitment to San Francisco values.

So, is Johnson now teaming up with the heirs of Harmon Burns to oust Baer from the top spot? The team announced that Baer will remain president and CEO when his suspension ends, but that a new control person will be named.

We’ll see how long he retains those titles. Peter McGowan and Bill Neukom looked secure in the team’s top spot until they weren’t.

***

Cal passed on Eric Musselman, the head coach at the University of Nevada, Reno, when it hired Wyking Jones to coach the men’s basketball team. Now they’ve hired Mark Fox, former head coach at UNR, to replace Jones.

***

Kevin Harlan, who did the play-by-play of several NCAA tournament games on TBS, can make a call for a time out seem exciting. Then there are commentators like Reggie Miller, who criticizes the college boys for failing to play defense. Nobody ever accused Reggie of playing defense.

***

Miller was a junior at UCLA when his sister, Cheryl, was a senior at USC. Sports Illustrated’s college basketball issue that season featured a cover shot of Cheryl with the headline proclaiming her the best college basketball player in America. Reggie never heard the end of that.

***

One of the reasons women’s college basketball has trouble generating interest is the disparity between the good and bad teams. Blow outs are common in the women’s tournament, and then you get something like this last Saturday: Stanford missed 26 of 29 3-point shots against Missouri State and still won by 9 points.

***

When the annual speculation starts on which college basketball players will turn pro, I’m always reminded of what John Calipari said when he was coaching Memphis and his star player was Derrick Rose:

“If he does what’s best for his family, he’ll leave. If he does what’s best for my family, he’ll stay.”

Posted in College athletics, NCAA, San Francisco Giants, Sports, Uncategorized | 8 Comments

More shoddy voter deception from NorCal Republicans

In case you haven’t noticed, we’re in a contest to fill the vacant District 1 state Senate seat that represents Nevada County, part of Placer County, and other areas north of us.

Election day is actually Tuesday, but most people are voting by mail to decide if one of four Republicans or a Democrat will fill the post. If nobody gets 50 percent plus one of the votes cast, the top two vote getters will advance to a runoff.

Steve Baird: Out

That would figure to involve the two best know candidates in the race, District 1 Assemblyman Brian Dahle and Assemblyman Kevin Kiley of Loomis, both Republicans. The only campaign literature I’ve received (as of Saturday) is two mailers from “Taxfighters for Brian Dahle for Senate 2019” that assume voters are ignorant.

The mailers, in different formats but with the same verbiage, suggest the only choices in the election are Dahle and Democrat Steve Baird. “Democrat Steve Baird and Republican Brian Dahle will both appear on the ballot and offer platforms that Democratic voters and Republican voters will find appealing,” we’re told.

Brian Dahle and his little red wagon: In

The flyers have pictures of both candidates and list three political positions for each that presumably makes them appealing. There’s only one problem with this: While Baird’s name is on the ballot, he withdrew from the race several weeks ago and is not an active candidate.

In other words, the “Taxfighters” want Democrats to vote for a non-candidate to draw votes away from Silke Pflueger, the only actual Democrat in the race.

That would make it easier for Dahle to make the run-off and possible win the election outright, particularly since Kiley faces two Republican candidates from Loomis and Placerville. One of them, Rex Hime, has raised a lot of money for the race.

“Taxfighters” obviously believe a lot of voters are ignorant about Baird and will fall into their trap when they vote. The mailers are reminiscent of a flyer put out by supporters of Rep. Doug LaMalfa that featured a doctored picture of Democratic challenger Audrey Denney pledging to faithfully follow House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. LaMalfa later laughed it off as a “joke.”

“Taxfighters” say they’re independent of Dahle’s campaign but don’t tell you much about themselves. They list an IP address that was acquired in late February and will probably be gone next week.

The flyers were paid for by the California Professional Firefighters PAC with major funding from the California Association of Realtors and the California Correctional Peace Officers Association. If you know anybody who belongs to those three outfits, you might want to ask them why they support such shoddy campaign practices.

If asked about the mailers, Dahle’s campaign  would probably take the Sergeant Schultz approach: “I know nothing.” But this is another example of the work of Republican strategists who clearly think there are a lot of stupid, ignorant voters in the north state.

If they’re referring to Republicans who lap up this stuff, I can see where they’d get that idea.

Posted in Assemblyman Brian Dahle, Democratic Party, Government, Media, Politics, Rep. Doug LaMalfa, Uncategorized | 3 Comments

SPEAKING OF SPORTS: Forget March Madness

Millions of Americans are preparing to goof off at work, take extended lunch breaks, cut classes, and spend the next four days in semi-dark rooms cut-off from civilization as they watch their March Madness brackets blow up in their faces.

For reasons that aren’t clear to me, millions of otherwise rational people agonize over trying to pick every winner in the NCAA men’s basketball tournament. Given the high number of possible combinations, it’s actually easier to win the lottery, where the odds are only about 300,000,000 to 1 against you.

It will be jammed Thursday.

I don’t even bother to fill out a bracket sheet. Instead, I and a couple of friends have joined several hundred other bettors at the sports book in the Peppermill Casino in Reno in a more profitable venture: Finding the point-spread winners in the first round of the tournament.

Experience has shown me there are many good betting opportunities in the first 32 games of the tournament–over the last three years, I’ve won close to 70 percent of my bets on the first round games. After that, you’re better off just watching because the point spreads get tighter and the winners are harder to identify.

Being the generous fellow that I am, I’ve decided to share this year’s bets with readers of my blog. Do as you like: Ignore my advice, try to get your money down, or just track my progress to find out if I’m full of hot air or I actually know what I’m talking about.

I decided to beat the rush and get my money down today on the Thursday games I like. I’ll do the same thing tomorrow for the Friday games if the point spreads on the games I like meet my criteria.

So, here are my  Thursday plays (Remember: These are point spread bets; the underdog doesn’t have to win, just cover the number):

–St. Mary’s (+4.5) over Villanova

–Murray State (+3.5) over Marquette

–Belmont (+3) over Maryland

–Wofford (-2.5) over Seton Hall

–Abilene Christian (+22) over Kentucky

–Louisville (-5) over Minnesota

–Bradley (+18.5) over Michigan State

–Nevada (-2.5) over Florida

–New Mexico State (+5.5) over Auburn

–Baylor (+2.5) over Syracuse

Rebounds: Dick Vitale was ESPN’s No. 1 college game commentator until he was replaced a couple of years ago by Jay Bilas. He’s been sliding down the greasy pole of fame ever since. For its league tournament coverage, ESPN assigned Vitale to cover the last two games of the West Coast Conference (that’s the one with St. Mary’s and Gonzaga).

***

The San Francisco Giants are contemplating carrying as many as 13 pitchers this season, with 8 to 10 of them expected to carry most of the load over the 162-game season. Heck, the team’s two projected aces, Madison Bumgarner and Jeff Samardzija, might pitch as many as 200 innings each, assuming they stay healthy and are effective (not a given in the case of Samardzija).

That has become the standard of endurance in an era where young pitchers as held to pitch limits as they move up the ladder, 6 innings is considered a quality start at the major league level, and pitchers in a 5-man rotation rarely finish games. The manager expects to use his setup man and closer if the starter actually lasts 7 innings.

Despite the coddling they receive, more pitchers land on the disabled list than ever before, and it is assumed a pitcher will undergo Tommy John surgery at some point in his career. Which is why we’re unlikely to see somebody like Tom Seaver ever again.

Seaver, a native of Fresno who was perhaps the greatest New York Met of them all, started his minor league career in 1966 by pitching 210 innings–not a big deal then, but unheard of today. The next year as a major league rookie, he threw 251 innings.

Over his first 13 years, the 300-game winner averaged 265 innings and was still a major league starter at the age of 41. He pitched 231 complete games.

Seaver has little use for the way pitchers are handled today. “All this babying of pitchers–pitch counts and innings limits–is a bunch of nonsense,” he said several years ago. “You can’t predict these things…but one way I know doesn’t do anything to prevent (injuries) is babying these kids like they do.”

Seaver’s family announced recently that he’s suffering from dementia and will withdraw from public life. It’s sad to see a real warrior go out that way.

***

Dan Jenkins, easily one of the best sports writers of the last 50 years, died recently at the age of 89. That’s quite an accomplishment for a guy who was a life-long smoker, liked to drink, and probably ate more press box food than is good for you.

Jenkins made his reputation as a football and golf writer for Sports Illustrated when SI was the home of the best sports writing in this country. Being a Texan, he naturally gravitated toward football (it is said the 2 favorite sports in the state are football and spring football), but perhaps was best known for his golf writing. He is 1 of just 3 writers in the World Golf Hall of Fame.

“For those of us who type words about sports for a living,” wrote Michael Rosenberg on SI.com, “Jenkins was our Palmer. Just as there was golf before Arnold Palmer and golf after him, there was sports-writing before Dan Jenkins and sports-writing after him.”

Jenkins also wrote several books, including 3 best-selling sports novels: “Semi-Tough,” “Baja Oklahoma” and “Dead Solid Perfect.” He also wrote a humorous memoir, “His Ownself.”

Jenkins was cynic with a very good antenna for detecting B.S., but he never took himself too seriously. As he said for many years: “The message on my tombstone will be, ‘I knew this would happen.'”

Hopefully, he’ll get his wish.

Posted in College athletics, Media, NCAA, Sports, Sports betting, Uncategorized | 2 Comments

SPEAKING OF SPORTS: MLB confronts its old nemesis

As we approach the 100th anniversary of the infamous Black Sox scandal, Major League Baseball is again grappling with the issue of betting on games.

Ever since eight players on the Chicago White Sox were banned from baseball for conspiring with gamblers to throw the 1919 World Series, the game has been unyielding in its opposition to betting–just ask Pete Rose.

But times have changed, and a Supreme Court ruling last year cleared the way for any state to legalize betting on baseball and every other sport. Like it or not, all professional sports and the NCAA have to deal with this new reality.

Their biggest fear is that with large amounts of money riding on the outcome of games, gamblers will be tempted to bribe players and others to fix games. This is a particular fear of the NCAA, a multi-billion dollar juggernaut that relies on unpaid student labor to thrive.

Because of the nature of the betting, baseball is a harder game to influence than basketball and football, which attract a lot more betting dollars anyway. Unlike the point spreads offered in other sports, baseball bettors bet into a money line that requires their team to win the game in order to cash a ticket.

Let’s say the Giants are playing the Dodgers in L.A. The 10-cent money line posted in Vegas might look like the following:

Giants +120, Dodgers -130

The Dodgers are favored in this game. If you agree with the bookies and bet LA, you would risk, say, $130 to win $100. If you bet the underdog Giants, you would risk $100 to win $120. (It’s called a 10-cent line because of the difference between 120 and 130. You’ll see 15- and 20-cent lines early in the season, but the 10-cent line becomes the standard around June 1.)

The betting line is determined largely by the starting pitchers–if a healthy Clayton Kershaw started this game against any Giants’ pitcher other than Madison Bumgarner, the Dodgers would be much bigger favorites. A gambler would probably have to bribe one of the starting pitchers or the home plate umpire to tilt the game his way, something unlikely to happen unless we’re talking about really big money.

But so-called proposition bets tied to a particular game can be manipulated by others. For example, the number of hits or errors, wild pitches or passed  balls–all totals you can bet on–is influenced by the official score keeper. To forestall any problems, MLB has promised a clearer set of rules governing these decisions and more rigorous oversight.

Just to make sure, MLB has hired Sportradar to use its proprietary algorithms to look for statistical anomalies and other suspicious activity. Starting this season, teams will have to submit their starting lineups to the commissioner’s office at least 15 minutes before game time, presumably to thwart people with inside knowledge about the star slugger being scratched from the starting lineup.

More problematic in sports betting is the ability to influence point spreads, which determine who wins and loses football and basketball bets. This is a particular issue when one team is a heavy favorite. The casual fan may not care if a 15-point favorite wins a basketball game by 14 or 16 points, but it’s a big deal to gamblers, and something that can be manipulated.

What the professional leagues and NCAA don’t seem to realize is that the people who will take a big hit if a game is fixed–the sport books–are hyper sensitive to suspicious activity and are quick to act on their suspicions. That’s how the last major betting scandal in sports–the one involving the 1993-94 Arizona State basketball team–was exposed.

ASU had a tournament-bound team then, led by point guard Stevin Smith, the leading scorer in what was then the Pac-10. But Smith had a sports betting problem–he kept betting on the losing teams–and owed a bookie $10,000.

Smith was offered the chance to erase the debt and make some money–all he had to do was shave the winning margin in games where Arizona State was heavily favored. This isn’t hard to do for a point guard. A few errant passes or ill-advised shots, being a step slow guarding a shooter–any of these actions can make the final score closer than it should be.

The plan was put into action Jan. 27, 1994, when Oregon State, a 14.5-point underdog, visited the Sun Devils. The bookie and his associates bet $500,000 in 30 different Vegas sports books on the Beavers. ASU won the game by just six points–Smith had a bad shooting night–and they repeated their success a few days later, this time betting $1 million on Oregon to cover the spread.

That’s when the antenna of the sports books went up. First, nobody bets that kind of money on Arizona State games, and it was being bet by people sports book personnel didn’t recognize. The betting line on the Oregon game moved sharply against the Ducks, but that didn’t slow down the betting–a red flag to professional gamblers.

The managers of several sports books compared notes and concluded the fix was in. They notified the NCAA and the Las Vegas office of the FBI. It took awhile, but the betting operation was exposed and several people went to prison. ASU coach Bill Frieder lost his job and never coached again.

The sports books, which operate on narrow margins, will make sure the NCAA and professional leagues stay on the straight-and-narrow. They have too much to lose if the games aren’t legit.

***

As long as we’re on the subject of betting, here are a couple of examples of why it’s difficult to beat the bookies, and why there’s no such thing as a sure thing.

–If you scanned the college point spreads March 2, two games jumped out at the knowledgeable bettor: Houston, which had one loss and was overpowering every opponent, was just a 7.5 point favorite against Central Florida, and Nevada, loser of just two games this season, was a “pick” against Utah State.

Both of those betting lines looked like trap games and, sure enough, a lot of bettors were trapped. Both Houston and Nevada lost.

–The Phoenix Suns, which have the worst record in the NBA, swept their season series with Milwaukee, which has the best record in the NBA.

***

The Book of Metrics has become the new bible for baseball general managers, who have been unwilling to spend  big money on free agents because the stats tell them they can sign players who are almost as good for a lot less money.

One exception to this trend is the Philadelphia Phillies, who signed prized free agent Bryce Harper to a 13-year deal worth $330 million. While they were at it, the Phillies traded for big-ticket catcher J.T. Realmuto and shortstop Jean Segura, and signed fading outfielder Andrew McCutchen to a three-year, $50 million deal.

If these signings work and Philly wins big, guess what’s going to happen: Forget about metrics, open the checkbook!

***

Things are getting so  bad for the Los Angeles Lakers, Snoop Dogg offered to sell his box seats for just $5.

LeBron James has proved that while teams need great players, basketball is still a team game. Magic Johnson has yet to work any miracles as president of basketball operations, and coach Luke Walton is being set-up to be the fall guy for the team’s disappointing performance.

Here are three quick fixes to the Lakers’ problems:

–Walton should take the hint and go after the UCLA coaching job. It wouldn’t take much to achieve success in the sorry Pac-12 conference.

–Jeanie Buss, who seized control of the team from her brothers after their father died, should fire Johnson and bring in her old boy friend, Phil Jackson, to run the team.

–James should be encouraged to take his talents elsewhere.

***

As long as we’re on the subject of hand wringing and angst, let’s discuss the Golden State Warriors. The concern being expressed for the team’s fortunes now are the same as the ones expressed a year ago, when Golden State finished the regular season 7-10. Like last year, the Warriors will be fine when the playoffs start.

Posted in College athletics, Golden State Warriors, Media, National Football League, NCAA, Sports, Sports betting, Uncategorized | 1 Comment