Like all opinionated sports fans, I’m frequently wrong but never in doubt when making predictions. That would explain in part my miserable performance to date picking winners in the NCAA Tournament. To recap:
I predicted Stanford would go out in its opening game, and recommended a bet on New Mexico. The Cardinal won that game and another before going down.
I also suggested that Wichita State and Creighton could go far in the tournament. That didn’t happen. Finally, I declared Louisville my dark horse to win it all. They lost to Final Four team Kentucky.
The Wildcats are joined in the semi-finals by Wisconsin, Connecticut, and overall No. 1 Florida. So who’s going to win the championship? Why would you ask me?
Since you asked, I’m inclined to go with Florida. The Gators haven’t lost a game since December, their senior-dominated team is used to playing pressure games, and they play the kind of lock-down defense you need to win championships.
Their final opponent is likely to be Kentucky, featuring a roster of one-and-down freshman All-Americas. The Wildcats didn’t develop any traction until mid-season, and have been getting progressively better since then.
I don’t think the freshman will beat the seniors in what should be a low-scoring, close game. But don’t bank on that prediction.